Chieti vs Acireale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
42.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 0
BEN
35%
29%
36%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 2
CHI
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
CHI
1 - 0
TER
30%
27%
43%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
VIR
1 - 0
CHI
55%
26%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 1
CRO
26%
27%
47%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
ACI
1 - 0
TER
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
SOR
1 - 1
ACI
25%
28%
47%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
ACI
0 - 2
VIR
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 1
ACI
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
ACI
1 - 1
VIS
62%
24%
14%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | -1 |