Chieti vs Tolentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
62.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MON
0 - 2
CHI
63%
22%
15%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 2
SAN
15%
22%
63%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SSS
0 - 0
CHI
79%
14%
7%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MAT
0 - 0
CHI
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 3
CAS
15%
18%
67%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Tolentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
UST
2 - 0
SAN
29%
26%
45%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
UST
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
UST
2 - 1
MAT
30%
23%
47%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
FAN
3 - 1
UST
50%
24%
27%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
UST
1 - 0
ASD
35%
23%
41%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |