Chieri vs Varesina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
COM
1 - 1
CHI
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 2
OLG
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
FOL
1 - 2
CHI
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
BOR
0 - 3
CHI
16%
17%
67%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 0
GOZ
25%
26%
49%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Varesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
VAR
3 - 1
BOR
50%
22%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SER
0 - 0
VAR
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 0
CAS
84%
11%
5%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
PAV
2 - 0
VAR
83%
13%
5%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 3
BOR
22%
25%
53%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |