Chieri vs Stresa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.1%
Win probability
3.61
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
5.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.7%
5-0
8.9%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.5%
4-0
12.3%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.8%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
5.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.8%
1.9%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
LIG
2 - 1
CHI
16%
20%
64%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CHI
4 - 0
APD
89%
8%
3%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 3
CAS
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
VIC
2 - 1
CHI
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
COM
3 - 2
CHI
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Stresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
STR
1 - 1
LAV
13%
18%
69%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
FEZ
1 - 0
STR
87%
10%
4%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 0
STR
69%
19%
13%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |