Chieri vs Sestri Levante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
GOZ
2 - 1
CHI
31%
26%
44%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
5 - 0
ACQ
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 2
BEL
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
FEZ
0 - 1
CHI
13%
18%
70%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 1
ARG
65%
19%
17%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sestri Levante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ASD
1 - 2
SES
32%
26%
43%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
SES
1 - 0
NOV
70%
21%
10%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SES
1 - 1
LAV
41%
29%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
RAB
1 - 0
SES
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
DER
1 - 0
SES
20%
25%
55%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -2 |