Chieri vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
10%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
+111%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
CHI
29%
25%
46%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 0
FOL
64%
20%
17%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
INV
1 - 1
CHI
31%
23%
46%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CHI
4 - 0
BOR
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
LEC
2 - 1
CHI
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
LAV
1 - 1
FEZ
47%
22%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SAV
2 - 2
LAV
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
FOL
3 - 0
LAV
58%
22%
19%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
LAV
2 - 2
LIG
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
BOR
1 - 1
LAV
45%
25%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |