Chieri vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
INV
1 - 1
CHI
31%
23%
46%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CHI
4 - 0
BOR
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
LEC
2 - 1
CHI
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 3
ASD
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SES
1 - 0
CHI
12%
19%
69%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
FOL
3 - 0
LAV
58%
22%
19%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
FEZ
1 - 3
FOL
39%
24%
36%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
FOL
41%
27%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
FOL
3 - 1
LIG
45%
25%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
INV
1 - 1
FOL
51%
23%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |