Chieri vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
DAR
0 - 1
CHI
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
GOZ
2 - 0
CHI
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 0
VER
87%
9%
4%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CHI
4 - 0
VAR
81%
12%
7%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ASD
3 - 1
CHI
19%
22%
59%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
FOL
4 - 0
UNI
15%
22%
64%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 0
FOL
48%
26%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
FOL
2 - 1
SET
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 2
FOL
46%
27%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
FOL
1 - 1
CAR
26%
27%
48%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +1 |