Chieri vs Fezzanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
11.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SAV
3 - 2
CHI
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 1
LAV
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
CHI
29%
25%
46%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 0
FOL
64%
20%
17%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
INV
1 - 1
CHI
31%
23%
46%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fezzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
FEZ
5 - 0
APD
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
SAV
2 - 0
FEZ
79%
13%
8%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
LAV
1 - 1
FEZ
47%
22%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
FEZ
0 - 0
LIG
38%
23%
39%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
FEZ
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |