Chieri vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
FEZ
0 - 0
CHI
32%
24%
45%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CHI
3 - 1
GHI
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 2
CHI
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 0
CHI
30%
26%
44%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CHI
3 - 1
USR
61%
20%
19%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 1
SAN
31%
26%
44%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 1
USR
45%
26%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
GHI
2 - 3
CAS
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 1
ASL
16%
28%
56%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
BOR
2 - 0
CAS
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |