Chieri vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
VIC
2 - 1
CHI
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
COM
3 - 2
CHI
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 3
CHI
38%
26%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CHI
5 - 2
CAS
91%
7%
2%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 1
CHI
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
BOR
0 - 1
CAS
48%
25%
28%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 0
STR
69%
19%
13%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 1
ASA
17%
20%
63%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
VAR
44%
28%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 0
BOR
31%
27%
42%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |