Chieri vs NovaRomentin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
50.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
3º
17º
15º
4
7º
18º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
12º
|
4 | 74 |
1º
|
25% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 72 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 69 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 67 |
4º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 64 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 64 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
4 | 63 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 60 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 60 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 57 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 56 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 49 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 46 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 44 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
4 | 44 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 43 |
16º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 37 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 32 |
18º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 31 |
19º
|
20% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 24 |
20º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 6.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5% | 28.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
43.5% | 58% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
44.5% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 2
DER
42%
25%
34%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AST
2 - 1
CHI
57%
23%
20%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 1
ACS
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 0
PIN
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BOR
1 - 0
CHI
23%
24%
53%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
NovaRomentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
SNR
3 - 0
OLT
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 6 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
VFC
2 - 1
SNR
61%
20%
19%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SNR
1 - 1
DER
60%
20%
20%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CCA
2 - 1
SNR
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
VOG
2 - 1
SNR
27%
25%
48%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |