Chieri vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
54.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 1
SAN
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
CHI
21%
22%
58%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 0
PAV
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
BOR
2 - 1
CHI
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CHI
3 - 0
ARC
80%
13%
7%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
VIR
2 - 1
VAR
17%
23%
60%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
VAR
7%
17%
76%
|
53 | 20 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 0
SER
84%
11%
5%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
FOL
3 - 2
VAR
14%
22%
64%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 1
BOR
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | -1 |