Chicago State vs Utah Valley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
77.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
UIW
2 - 0
CST
78%
13%
9%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
NLV
2 - 1
CST
83%
11%
6%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
DXS
1 - 1
CST
75%
15%
10%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CST
1 - 3
GCU
7%
13%
80%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
CST
0 - 4
AFF
8%
14%
78%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Utah Valley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
UVL
4 - 1
NLV
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
UVL
1 - 2
SUR
27%
22%
51%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
UVL
0 - 1
SJS
29%
22%
49%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
UIW
1 - 2
UVL
22%
20%
58%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
DXS
1 - 2
UVL
21%
20%
59%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |