Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
CFS
2 - 3
COC
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2022 |
SJE
2 - 1
CFS
52%
24%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
CFS
1 - 0
PHU
22%
25%
53%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
HOD
2 - 0
CFS
41%
26%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
CFS
1 - 0
DCU
36%
27%
38%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 2
SJE
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 2
SES
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 2
COC
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 1
AFC
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
TOR
4 - 0
MON
38%
24%
38%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |