Chicago Fire vs San Jose Earthquakes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 1999 |
CFS
2 - 0
RBN
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1999 |
DAL
1 - 2
CFS
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1999 |
CFS
1 - 1
DAL
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1999 |
COR
2 - 0
CFS
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1999 |
CFS
2 - 0
SJE
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
San Jose Earthquakes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 1999 |
TAM
2 - 1
SJE
55%
22%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1999 |
SJE
1 - 1
DCU
23%
23%
54%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 1999 |
COC
3 - 3
SJE
61%
20%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1999 |
MIA
1 - 2
SJE
51%
23%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1999 |
CFS
2 - 0
SJE
62%
20%
18%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |