Chicago Fire vs New York RB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2006 |
CFS
2 - 2
HOD
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
CFS
1 - 0
COR
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
CFS
2 - 1
NER
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
NER
0 - 1
CFS
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2006 |
CFS
3 - 0
KCW
50%
25%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
New York RB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2006 |
KCW
2 - 2
RBN
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
RBN
6 - 0
RSL
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
DCU
3 - 1
RBN
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
COC
1 - 0
RBN
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2006 |
RBN
0 - 0
DCU
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |