Chicago Fire vs New York RB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
26.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2004 |
NER
3 - 1
CFS
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2004 |
CFS
1 - 1
NER
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2004 |
COC
2 - 0
CFS
39%
25%
35%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2004 |
CFS
0 - 1
GAL
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
CFS
1 - 1
SJE
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
New York RB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
RBN
2 - 0
SJE
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
DCU
6 - 2
RBN
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2004 |
RBN
2 - 3
COR
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
NER
2 - 1
RBN
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2004 |
GAL
0 - 3
RBN
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |