Chicago Fire vs New York RB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
CFS
2 - 0
KCW
54%
23%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
CFS
3 - 1
NER
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
CFS
1 - 2
DCU
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
SJE
0 - 0
CFS
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2003 |
CFS
2 - 1
RBN
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
New York RB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
COR
1 - 0
RBN
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
DAL
1 - 2
RBN
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
NER
3 - 3
RBN
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
DCU
2 - 3
RBN
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2003 |
RBN
4 - 4
SJE
44%
25%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |