Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
17%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
CFS
4 - 0
RBN
38%
27%
36%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
GAL
2 - 1
CFS
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
CFS
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
ROC
0 - 1
CFS
26%
25%
49%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
CFS
1 - 1
RBN
37%
28%
36%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Portland Timbers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
POR
2 - 3
SES
28%
28%
44%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
POR
1 - 2
KCW
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
DAL
4 - 0
POR
69%
20%
11%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2011 |
POR
3 - 3
RBN
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
COR
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |