Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union analysis

Chicago Fire Philadelphia Union
79 ELO 84
3.4% Tilt 6.1%
455º General ELO ranking 243º
25º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
30.9%
Chicago Fire
24.5%
Draw
44.6%
Philadelphia Union

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
Chicago Fire
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
44.6%
Win probability
Philadelphia Union
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chicago Fire
-9%
-4%
Philadelphia Union

Points and table prediction

Chicago Fire
Their league position
Philadelphia Union
CURR.POS.
28º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
27º
28º
37
27º
22º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
23º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Inter Miami
74
74
100%
Columbus Crew
66
66
100%
LA Galaxy
64
64
100%
Los Angeles FC
64
64
100%
Cincinnati
59
59
100%
Real Salt Lake
57
57
100%
Seattle Sounders
57
57
100%
Houston Dynamo
54
54
100%
Colorado Rapids
53
53
100%
Minnesota United
11º
52
52
10º
0%
Orlando City
10º
52
52
11º
0%
Charlotte FC
12º
51
51
12º
100%
New York City
13º
50
50
13º
100%
Vancouver Whitecaps
14º
48
48
14º
100%
Portland Timbers
15º
47
47
15º
0%
New York RB
16º
47
47
16º
0%
CF Montréal
17º
43
43
17º
100%
FC Dallas
18º
41
41
18º
100%
Atlanta United
19º
40
40
19º
0%
DC United
20º
40
40
20º
0%
Austin FC
21º
39
39
21º
100%
Philadelphia Union
23º
37
37
22º
100%
St. Louis City
24º
37
37
23º
100%
Toronto FC
22º
37
37
24º
100%
Nashville SC
25º
36
36
25º
100%
Sporting Kansas City
27º
31
31
26º
100%
New England Revolution
26º
31
31
27º
100%
Chicago Fire
28º
30
30
28º
100%
San Jose Earthquakes
29º
21
21
29º
100%
Expected probabilities
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jun. 2024
SES
Seattle Sounders
2 - 1
Chicago Fire
CFS
51%
25%
24%
79 85 6 0
23 Jun. 2024
ORL
Orlando City
4 - 2
Chicago Fire
CFS
57%
23%
21%
79 85 6 0
16 Jun. 2024
TOR
Toronto FC
1 - 4
Chicago Fire
CFS
45%
25%
30%
79 77 2 0
02 Jun. 2024
CFS
Chicago Fire
2 - 1
LA Galaxy
GAL
29%
24%
47%
78 84 6 +1
30 May. 2024
CFS
Chicago Fire
1 - 1
Orlando City
ORL
31%
25%
44%
78 85 7 0

Matches

Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jun. 2024
MON
CF Montréal
4 - 2
Philadelphia Union
PHU
37%
25%
38%
85 82 3 0
23 Jun. 2024
PHU
Philadelphia Union
0 - 2
Charlotte FC
CHA
52%
24%
25%
85 83 2 0
20 Jun. 2024
CIN
Cincinnati
4 - 3
Philadelphia Union
PHU
47%
24%
29%
85 85 0 0
16 Jun. 2024
PHU
Philadelphia Union
1 - 2
Inter Miami
IMI
47%
24%
29%
85 85 0 0
02 Jun. 2024
PHU
Philadelphia Union
2 - 2
CF Montréal
MON
52%
23%
25%
85 82 3 0