Chicago Fire vs Orlando City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
NER
3 - 1
CFS
43%
25%
33%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
RSL
3 - 1
CFS
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
CFS
2 - 2
RBN
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
NER
1 - 0
CFS
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
CFS
3 - 0
FOR
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Orlando City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
ORL
1 - 3
SES
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
ORL
3 - 1
NER
38%
25%
37%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
ORL
1 - 2
STO
34%
26%
39%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
COC
2 - 2
ORL
46%
25%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
VAN
2 - 2
ORL
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |