Chicago Fire vs New York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
CFS
3 - 2
TOR
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CFS
1 - 0
PHU
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
SJE
2 - 1
CFS
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CFS
0 - 1
VAN
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
GAL
2 - 0
CFS
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
New York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
NYC
0 - 1
POR
41%
24%
35%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
NYC
1 - 1
PHU
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PHU
2 - 1
NYC
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
NYC
0 - 1
KCW
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
COR
0 - 0
NYC
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |