Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 1
CFS
26%
27%
48%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SES
2 - 1
CFS
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CFS
1 - 1
HOD
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CFS
1 - 0
KCW
42%
28%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
NER
2 - 0
CFS
32%
26%
41%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
NER
2 - 4
MON
44%
27%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 1
NER
31%
27%
43%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
NER
5 - 1
PHU
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
NER
2 - 0
CFS
32%
26%
41%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
KCW
3 - 0
NER
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |