Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
RSL
3 - 1
CFS
33%
27%
41%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
CHI
1 - 0
CFS
29%
27%
45%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
HOD
0 - 1
CFS
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
RBN
1 - 1
CFS
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
KCW
1 - 1
CFS
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
DCU
1 - 0
NER
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
NER
1 - 1
HOD
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
DAL
4 - 0
NER
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
NER
3 - 1
CHI
71%
19%
10%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
NER
4 - 0
GAL
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |