Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
CFS
2 - 0
DCU
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
DCU
0 - 2
CFS
38%
24%
38%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
COC
6 - 2
CFS
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
CFS
4 - 3
COR
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
CFS
1 - 0
RBN
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
NER
1 - 1
RBN
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
RBN
0 - 2
NER
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
NER
5 - 2
RBN
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
RBN
1 - 2
NER
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
NER
1 - 0
DCU
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |