Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
CFS
1 - 2
DCU
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
SJE
0 - 0
CFS
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2003 |
CFS
2 - 1
RBN
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
KCW
4 - 2
CFS
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2003 |
CFS
4 - 1
DAL
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
NER
1 - 2
DAL
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
NER
3 - 3
RBN
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
GAL
2 - 2
NER
57%
23%
21%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
NER
3 - 2
COR
59%
22%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
DCU
1 - 1
NER
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |