Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2000 |
CFS
4 - 1
SJE
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
MIA
0 - 3
CFS
31%
25%
44%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2000 |
CFS
1 - 2
COR
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2000 |
CFS
5 - 1
TAM
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
NER
1 - 1
CFS
29%
25%
46%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2000 |
NER
3 - 4
COR
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
DCU
1 - 3
NER
76%
15%
9%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
NER
2 - 1
SJE
41%
25%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
NER
1 - 1
MIA
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
NER
1 - 1
CFS
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |