Chicago Fire vs CF Montréal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
PHU
1 - 1
CFS
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
HOD
2 - 0
CFS
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CFS
3 - 3
DCU
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CFS
1 - 1
TOR
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
NER
2 - 1
CFS
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CF Montréal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
COC
2 - 0
MON
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MON
2 - 0
SJE
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
RBN
30%
24%
46%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
NER
2 - 1
MON
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
MON
2 - 2
GAL
23%
24%
53%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |