Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
40.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 0
CFS
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
CFS
1 - 0
SJE
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
CFS
2 - 1
COC
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
PHU
4 - 3
CFS
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
COR
2 - 1
CFS
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Kansas City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
KCW
3 - 1
NYC
61%
21%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2016 |
KCW
3 - 2
COC
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
HOD
3 - 1
KCW
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
MON
2 - 2
KCW
36%
28%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
KCW
2 - 0
DAL
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |