Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
29.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
DAL
1 - 1
CFS
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
CHI
1 - 4
CFS
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
CFS
0 - 0
DCU
47%
28%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
CFS
0 - 2
KCW
47%
28%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
CFS
2 - 0
COC
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Kansas City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 3
KCW
42%
28%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
KCW
4 - 1
SJE
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
NER
1 - 0
KCW
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
CFS
0 - 2
KCW
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
KCW
1 - 2
SES
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |