Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
CFS
2 - 3
DCU
52%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2005 |
CFS
3 - 2
NER
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2005 |
COR
4 - 1
CFS
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
CFS
1 - 1
COC
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2005 |
CFS
3 - 1
WES
86%
10%
4%
|
77 | 38 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Kansas City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
NER
1 - 2
KCW
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2005 |
DES
1 - 6
KCW
14%
22%
64%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2005 |
COC
2 - 0
KCW
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2005 |
KCW
1 - 1
DCU
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2005 |
KCW
3 - 2
RSL
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |