Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
DAL
4 - 1
CFS
38%
26%
37%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
CFS
1 - 0
CHA
73%
17%
9%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
GAL
1 - 1
CFS
49%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
CFS
0 - 3
COR
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
CFS
2 - 1
SJE
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Kansas City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
KCW
1 - 0
SJE
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
NER
1 - 2
KCW
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2004 |
COC
2 - 1
KCW
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
KCW
0 - 2
SJE
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2004 |
KCW
4 - 0
DAL
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |