Chicago Fire vs DC United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2009 |
CFS
3 - 2
COR
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
CFS
0 - 2
GAL
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
KCW
0 - 2
CFS
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2009 |
HOD
3 - 2
CFS
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
CFS
1 - 0
RSL
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
DCU
1 - 3
TOL
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
DCU
0 - 0
GAL
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 1
DCU
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
TOR
2 - 0
DCU
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
HOD
4 - 3
DCU
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |