Chicago Fire vs DC United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
DAL
1 - 1
CFS
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
CFS
2 - 2
RBN
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
COC
0 - 1
CFS
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
RBN
1 - 0
CFS
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
CFS
2 - 0
KCW
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2007 |
DCU
2 - 1
RSL
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
DCU
4 - 2
NER
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
CHI
2 - 2
DCU
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
DAL
0 - 4
DCU
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
TOR
0 - 1
DCU
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |