Chicago Fire vs DC United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2004 |
CFS
3 - 1
KCW
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
DAL
4 - 1
CFS
38%
26%
37%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
CFS
1 - 0
CHA
73%
17%
9%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
GAL
1 - 1
CFS
49%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
CFS
0 - 3
COR
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
NER
0 - 0
DCU
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
COC
2 - 2
DCU
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
DCU
2 - 2
NER
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
DCU
3 - 1
COR
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
SJE
2 - 0
DCU
64%
21%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |