Chicago Fire vs DC United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
34%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
CFS
1 - 0
GAL
44%
22%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
CFS
0 - 0
DAL
64%
20%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
MIA
1 - 4
CFS
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1999 |
KCW
0 - 3
CFS
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
SJE
1 - 3
CFS
40%
25%
34%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
DCU
2 - 3
NER
79%
14%
8%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
DCU
1 - 1
SJE
77%
14%
9%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
NER
2 - 2
DCU
23%
24%
54%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
RBN
0 - 1
DCU
29%
24%
47%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
TAM
2 - 5
DCU
32%
22%
46%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |