Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
RBN
1 - 0
CFS
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2006 |
CFS
3 - 1
GAL
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
CFS
2 - 1
GAL
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
CFS
1 - 0
DCU
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2006 |
COR
1 - 0
CFS
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
COC
3 - 1
DAL
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
COC
1 - 1
HOD
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
RBN
1 - 0
COC
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
COC
1 - 2
CFS
36%
28%
37%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
COC
3 - 0
NER
36%
28%
37%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |