Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2005 |
CFS
2 - 2
RBN
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
KCW
0 - 1
CFS
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2005 |
SJE
2 - 0
CFS
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
COC
1 - 2
CFS
44%
26%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2005 |
CFS
0 - 1
DAL
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2005 |
DAL
2 - 1
COC
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
COC
0 - 1
CHI
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
RSL
1 - 2
COC
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2005 |
COC
1 - 1
NER
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
COC
1 - 2
CFS
44%
26%
31%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |