Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
COC
3 - 3
CFS
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
CFS
2 - 0
NER
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
KCW
1 - 0
CFS
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
DCU
3 - 1
CFS
40%
25%
34%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
CFS
3 - 1
DCU
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
COC
3 - 3
CFS
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
COC
1 - 0
DCU
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
COC
4 - 2
RBN
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
SJE
0 - 1
COC
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
COC
3 - 1
GAL
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |