Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2002 |
CFS
1 - 1
SJE
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
NER
1 - 3
CFS
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
CFS
0 - 1
GAL
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
DCU
0 - 3
CFS
40%
24%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
CFS
2 - 2
NER
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2002 |
COC
1 - 1
DAL
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
COC
2 - 0
SJE
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
DCU
1 - 1
COC
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
SJE
3 - 2
COC
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
COC
1 - 0
DCU
51%
23%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |