Chicago Fire vs Chivas USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2006 |
CFS
2 - 0
KCW
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
CFS
0 - 0
COC
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
CFS
1 - 1
DCU
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2006 |
CFS
2 - 3
DAL
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2006 |
CFS
1 - 2
NER
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chivas USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2006 |
CHI
1 - 1
NER
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2006 |
RSL
3 - 3
CHI
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2006 |
COR
3 - 3
CHI
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
CHI
0 - 0
GAL
36%
27%
38%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2006 |
CHI
0 - 0
DAR
81%
13%
6%
|
68 | 9 | 59 | 0 |