MLS Semi-finals
Global 2-4
Chicago Fire vs LA Galaxy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
CFS
2 - 0
DAL
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
DAL
1 - 1
CFS
38%
24%
37%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
CFS
2 - 0
DAL
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
CFS
2 - 2
DAL
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
RBN
0 - 1
CFS
38%
24%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
LA Galaxy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
GAL
4 - 2
RBN
52%
24%
23%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2001 |
RBN
4 - 1
GAL
36%
24%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
GAL
1 - 1
RBN
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
COR
0 - 2
GAL
25%
24%
52%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
GAL
3 - 2
COR
61%
22%
18%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |