Chicago Fire II vs New York City II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
CHI
2 - 2
IMI
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
FCC
1 - 5
CHI
19%
22%
59%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
CHI
2 - 1
AFC
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 1
NER
44%
25%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
ORL
3 - 2
CHI
26%
23%
52%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
New York City II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
NYC
3 - 4
ORL
63%
20%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
NYC
5 - 0
IMI
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
PHU
2 - 0
NYC
48%
23%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
NYC
0 - 1
HUN
82%
13%
6%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
CLE
4 - 3
NYC
16%
20%
64%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | -1 |