Chicago Fire II vs Indy Eleven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
27.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
NYO
5 - 5
CHI
40%
23%
37%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 0
CLE
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 0
FMA
51%
22%
27%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 1
PHU
40%
24%
36%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
CHI
6 - 0
CCS
67%
19%
15%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Indy Eleven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
IND
2 - 4
CHA
22%
26%
53%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LOU
5 - 3
IND
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
IND
1 - 2
DET
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
IND
1 - 1
SAC
24%
29%
47%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MEM
1 - 2
IND
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |