Chicago Fire II vs Forward Madison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
26.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 1
PHU
40%
24%
36%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
CHI
6 - 0
CCS
67%
19%
15%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 1
CHI
19%
20%
61%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NYO
4 - 1
CHI
34%
23%
44%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
HUN
2 - 2
CHI
17%
20%
63%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CVF
0 - 3
FMA
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
GTR
0 - 0
FMA
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
FMA
2 - 0
DUL
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 1
FMA
60%
22%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NCO
4 - 1
FMA
65%
21%
15%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |