Chicago Fire II vs Cincinnati II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+92%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
CHI
2 - 0
COL
30%
27%
42%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
CLE
4 - 2
CHI
11%
18%
71%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
PHU
2 - 5
CHI
39%
24%
37%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 0
ORL
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
NER
2 - 2
CHI
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cincinnati II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
FCC
3 - 5
ORL
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
NYO
3 - 1
FCC
40%
23%
38%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
FCC
2 - 1
NER
21%
22%
57%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
ORL
4 - 0
FCC
52%
22%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
IMI
3 - 1
FCC
55%
21%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |