Chicago Fire II vs Chicago City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 1
CHI
19%
20%
61%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NYO
4 - 1
CHI
34%
23%
44%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
HUN
2 - 2
CHI
17%
20%
63%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 1
ORL
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SPK
2 - 3
CHI
39%
23%
38%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Chicago City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
CCS
0 - 2
MIC
18%
21%
61%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
CCS
5 - 1
CFS
77%
13%
9%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
WIC
2 - 1
CCS
14%
17%
69%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | -2 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
CCS
3 - 0
CDL
88%
8%
4%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
CCS
2 - 0
WIC
85%
10%
5%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |