Chiatura vs Sasco Tiblisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
52.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiatura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
GAG
4 - 1
CHI
71%
19%
11%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 1
GUR
18%
22%
59%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
MES
2 - 0
CHI
43%
25%
33%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 2
RAC
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
STU
2 - 2
CHI
57%
20%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sasco Tiblisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
RAC
1 - 3
SAS
15%
21%
64%
|
55 | 22 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
SAS
4 - 0
DIN
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
IME
0 - 0
SAS
30%
26%
45%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SAS
6 - 1
SUL
81%
13%
7%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
GAG
0 - 2
SAS
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +2 |