Chiatura vs Samtredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+386%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiatura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
3 - 2
CHK
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
STU
1 - 3
CHI
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 1
MEA
50%
26%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
MER
1 - 0
CHI
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
MES
0 - 1
CHI
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
LOK
4 - 0
SAM
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 0
KOL
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
SAM
0 - 0
LOK
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
DBA
3 - 0
SAM
71%
19%
10%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SAM
4 - 2
STU
44%
25%
32%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |